Will a tornado touch down in mainland France on August 27?

🤖 Context

YES if the Observatoire Keraunos publishes a bulletin, event log, statement, or report explicitly confirming that at least one tornado touched down in mainland France on August 27, 2026. A YES also counts if at least two independent major news agencies (for example AFP, Reuters, Franceinfo) or official local authorities publish explicit reports confirming a tornado touchdown in France on that date referencing Keraunos or local authorities. Reports that only describe funnel clouds, suspected sightings, or general storm damage do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 23%, based on 170 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

23%

Predictions made

170

Credits staked

4,811

Comments

2

Opened

Aug 26, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 28, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 28, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 23% and NO 77%, based on 170 predictions and 4.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a tornado touch down in mainland France on August 27?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a tornado touch down in mainland France on August 27?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.