Will a 'situación de interés para la seguridad nacional' (special national security measure) be declared for Ceuta on August 25?

🤖 Context

YES if two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that the Spanish Government issued an official declaration of a 'situación de interés para la seguridad nacional' that explicitly applies to the city of Ceuta on 25 August 2026 (CEST). Preferably this appears via an official Spanish Government press-office statement (Moncloa) or a similar government announcement. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 36%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

36%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

60

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 24, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 25, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 36% and NO 64%, based on 2 predictions and 60 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a 'situación de interés para la seguridad nacional' (special national security measure) be declared for Ceuta on August 25?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a 'situación de interés para la seguridad nacional' (special national security measure) be declared for Ceuta on August 25?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.