Will a scheduled passenger ferry between the Balearic Islands be cancelled due to weather on August 21?

🤖 Context

YES if, on August 21, 2026 local time, any ferry operator or an official port authority (for example Autoridad Portuaria de las Islas Baleares or Puertos del Estado) publicly lists at least one scheduled passenger ferry sailing between two Balearic Islands as 'cancelled' and attributes the cancellation to weather (storms, wind, high seas), or if two independent major Spanish news outlets report a scheduled passenger sailing for August 21, 2026 was cancelled due to the storms. Freight-only sailings, delays, cancellations explicitly attributed to non-weather causes, and timetable removals without an explicit cancellation notice do not count. Prefer official operator or port authority schedules or press releases. Mainstream media is acceptable as corroboration.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

50%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

160

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 21, 2026

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 22, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 50% and NO 50%, based on 2 predictions and 160 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a scheduled passenger ferry between the Balearic Islands be cancelled due to weather on August 21?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a scheduled passenger ferry between the Balearic Islands be cancelled due to weather on August 21?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.