Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official session report or the official Sprint Race classification/timing for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix Sprint at Circuit Park Zandvoort on 22 August 2026 indicates a Safety Car period occurred at any time during the Sprint, according to the FIA or the official Formula1 timing. Otherwise NO. If the Sprint was cancelled and no session took place, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 19 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a day left, there's a good chance of chaos at Zandvoort. Expect at least one Safety Car during the Sprint, especially given the tight corners and potential for incidents.

94%
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46%
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75%
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89%
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39%
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61%
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