Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if the official qualifying classification or the official starting grid for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix for the qualifying session held on August 22, 2026 names a driver entered for the Red Bull Racing team as starting first on the race grid, according to the FIA or Formula1.com. Otherwise NO. If qualifying is canceled and the FIA sets the grid by other rules, the driver the FIA officially lists as starting first counts as pole for this market.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 78 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the recent performances, I think a Red Bull driver will likely secure the pole. They’ve been dominant lately, and with just a few days left, it’s looking good for them.

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