Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

93%
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77%
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YES if during the Made by Google livestream that begins on August 12, 2026 Google publicly announces on-stage or in the livestream feed a product explicitly called 'Pixel Watch 5', no later than 20:00 on August 12, 2026, according to Google's livestream, an official Google Store product page, a Google blog post using the exact name, or consistent contemporaneous reporting by major independent tech outlets. If Google shows a watch but never uses the exact name 'Pixel Watch 5', for example calling it only 'Pixel Watch' or 'new Pixel Watch', the market resolves NO. If the Made by Google livestream is cancelled or postponed so that no announcement occurs on August 12, 2026, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 41 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThe announcement is scheduled

93%
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80%
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69%
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7%
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51%
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40%
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