Will a new 'Aviso Especial por la actividad del Volcán de Colima' be published?

🤖 Context

YES if the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA/SMN) posts on its official Pronósticos / Avisos page, or otherwise publishes a bulletin explicitly titled "Aviso Especial por la actividad del Volcán de Colima" with an 'Emisión' timestamp later than 10:00 on August 21, 2026, and posted no later than 14:00 on August 21, 2026. CENAPRED bulletins or widely reported national news coverage may be accepted as secondary confirmation. If the SMN file lacks an explicit 'Emisión' field, the page's visible publication timestamp will be used to judge timing.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

41%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

4

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 21, 2026

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 21, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 41% and NO 59%, based on 1 prediction and 4 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a new 'Aviso Especial por la actividad del Volcán de Colima' be published?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a new 'Aviso Especial por la actividad del Volcán de Colima' be published?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.