Will a new Apple Watch be named "Apple Watch Ultra 4" or "Apple Watch Series 12"?

🤖 Context

YES if Apple publicly announces via Apple Newsroom, an Apple Events presentation or recording, Apple's official product pages, or an Apple press release, between 12:00 AM Pacific Time on September 1, 2026 and 11:59:59 PM Pacific Time on September 30, 2026 inclusive, that it will release a new Apple Watch whose official Apple-facing product name includes the token "Ultra 4" (for example "Apple Watch Ultra 4") or "Series 12" (for example "Apple Watch Series 12"). Reporting by major outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, The Verge) is also acceptable evidence. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 69%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

69%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

75

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 16, 2026

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

9to5mac.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 69% and NO 31%, based on 4 predictions and 75 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against 9to5mac.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a new Apple Watch be named "Apple Watch Ultra 4" or "Apple Watch Series 12"?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a new Apple Watch be named "Apple Watch Ultra 4" or "Apple Watch Series 12"?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.