Will a majority of valid ballots in Alberta's referendum on Oct 19 back starting the legal process for a binding referendum on separating Alberta from Canada?

🤖 Context

YES if Elections Alberta's official count of valid ballots for the province-wide referendum held on October 19, 2026 shows strictly more than 50% of valid votes for the ballot option that Elections Alberta explicitly counts as support for starting the legal process to hold a binding referendum on separating Alberta from Canada. Ties or exactly 50.0% for that option resolve NO. If the referendum is cancelled or legally declared void before official results are published, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

72%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 12, 2026

Closes

Oct 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 20, 2026

Resolution source

cbc.ca

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 20, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 72% and NO 28%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against cbc.ca once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a majority of valid ballots in Alberta's referendum on Oct 19 back starting the legal process for a binding referendum on separating Alberta from Canada?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a majority of valid ballots in Alberta's referendum on Oct 19 back starting the legal process for a binding referendum on separating Alberta from Canada?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.