🔬Science
Closes Aug 14 · Results Aug 16
Will total area burned by wildfires in Europe in 2026 exceed 500,000 hectares?
86%
+2% last 24h
1071 bets · 25K credits3
Details →
ScienceResults Jul 5
Will a major U.S. city set a new high-temperature record during the June 28–July 4, 2026 heatwave?
71%
Stable · last 24h
📊 4 bettors💎 67 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 5🤖 Context
This market will resolve to YES if any major U.S. city records a higher temperature between June 28 and July 4, 2026, than its previous all-time high. The outcome will be determined based on official meteorological records from the National Weather Service or equivalent authoritative sources.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes71%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 71%
- Predictions made
- 4
- Credits staked
- 67
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 27, 2026
- Closes
- Jun 28, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 6, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- spokesman.com, cbsnews.com, climatecentral.org
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 0 comments
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