Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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YES if official race timelines or stewards' reports for the 2026 Pirelli Italian Grand Prix show at least one full Safety Car was brought onto the track during the main race between the official race start and official race finish on September 6, 2026. Use Formula1.com's official race timeline or the stewards' race report as primary sources, with major outlets like ESPN, Reuters, AP, or BBC acceptable as corroboration. Virtual Safety Car periods alone do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 79 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the unpredictability of Monza and the high speed of this track, I think a Safety Car is likely to be deployed during the race. Past trends support this.

59%
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