Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if Formula 1's official race report or the FIA race control report for the Heineken Dutch Grand Prix main race on 23 August 2026 records at least one deployment of the full (physical) Safety Car during the race session. That means the Safety Car was on track controlling the field. Virtual Safety Car periods and Safety Car activity only on the formation lap do not count. The market resolves according to Formula 1's official race report or the FIA race control report, and ordinary reliable reporting describing a physical Safety Car deployment is also acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 26 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just over a week to go, the high likelihood of incidents at Zandvoort means there’s a solid chance the Safety Car will be deployed. Expect at least one call during the race.

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56%
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