Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 27YES if any French rider is among the top three in the final general classification of the 2026 Tour de France, NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settled30%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied final-classification sources for the 2026 Tour de France (official Letour rankings and multiple contemporaneous reports dated 26–27 July 2026) list the podium as: 1 Tadej Pogačar (SLO), 2 Remco Evenepoel (BEL), 3 Isaac Del Toro (MEX). The highest-placed French rider shown is Paul Seixas in 4th. Therefore, based on the provided evidence there is no French rider among the top three.
Source: letour.frSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledNon
Paul Seixas avec l'abandon de Vingegaard

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