Will North Korea conduct an ICBM-class ballistic missile test?

42%
-9% last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than September 15, 2026, the Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) has publicly and formally opened or registered an internal disciplinary/sanctioning procedure that specifically names the PRI deputy cited in the source article. Acceptable evidence is either an official Chamber publication or announcement, or credible reporting by two or more independent Mexican national news outlets. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against comunicacionsocial.diputados.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and the increasing pressure on the Chamber, I expect a formal disciplinary process against the deputy to be initiated before the deadline. They can't afford to ignore this.

42%
-9% last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

92%
Stable · last 24h

56%
+1% last 24h

78%
+1% last 24h

27%
-6% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy