Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

70%
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61%
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YES if, no later than September 18, 2026, the Fiscalía General del Estado (or the specific prosecutor's office handling the case) issues a public statement or filing that it has opened a formal criminal investigation into Facua's complaint about islamophobic chants at the September 2 demonstrations, or if two or more independent Spanish national news outlets unambiguously report that the Fiscalía has opened such an investigation. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and the gravity of the complaint, I think the Fiscalía will open a formal inquiry. There's enough pressure to act on this issue before the deadline.

70%
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40%
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64%
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46%
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21%
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23%
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