Will a Falcon 9 launch the Starlink 15-25 mission (27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites) from SLC‑4E at Vandenberg on October 10?

🤖 Context

YES if a Falcon 9 vehicle lifts off from SLC‑4E at Vandenberg during the launch window that opens at 4:00 p.m. PDT on October 10, 2026, and an authoritative report explicitly identifies the flight as Starlink 15-25 carrying 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites, otherwise NO. • Only a confirmed liftoff counts. Engine ignition without liftoff does not count. • An authoritative report must explicitly identify the flight as Starlink 15-25 carrying 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites. Acceptable authorities include SpaceX or the U.S. Space Force Western Range. • Source: Spaceflight Now

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 183 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

55%

Predictions made

183

Credits staked

7,241

Comments

2

Opened

Oct 6, 2026

Closes

Oct 10, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 11, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 10, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 55% and NO 45%, based on 183 predictions and 7.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a Falcon 9 launch the Starlink 15-25 mission (27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites) from SLC‑4E at Vandenberg on October 10?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a Falcon 9 launch the Starlink 15-25 mission (27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites) from SLC‑4E at Vandenberg on October 10?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.