Will a 'estado de alarma' (a national emergency measure) be declared for Ceuta?

🤖 Context

YES if the Spanish Government issues a formal decree that explicitly declares a 'estado de alarma' (a national emergency measure) covering the Autonomous City of Ceuta no later than August 26, 2026, preferably as published in the Boletín Oficial del Estado (BOE). The market also resolves YES if at least two independent national or regional news outlets explicitly report such a government declaration by that date. Public calls, local or regional emergency measures, temporary camps, or actions taken only by Ceuta city authorities do not count; otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 8 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

56%

Predictions made

8

Credits staked

307

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 19, 2026

Closes

Aug 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 27, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 56% and NO 44%, based on 8 predictions and 307 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a 'estado de alarma' (a national emergency measure) be declared for Ceuta?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a 'estado de alarma' (a national emergency measure) be declared for Ceuta?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.