Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?

78%
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82%
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Resolved: No
Results Jul 28This market will resolve to 'YES' if a Democratic candidate wins the special election for Georgia's 13th congressional district on July 28, 2026, and to 'NO' if a Republican candidate wins.
How markets are built and settled82%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 82% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple credible news outlets reporting on the July 28, 2026 special election state that no candidate won an outright majority on that date. Reports (AP via Georgia Recorder, CBS News Atlanta, FOX5 Atlanta) say Democrats Marcye Scott (~46%) and Everton Blair (~37%) advanced to an August 25, 2026 runoff. Because no candidate secured the required majority on July 28, 2026, a Democratic candidate did not win the special election on that date.
Source: georgiarecorder.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledfranchement, je parie sur un démocrate ici. le vent tourne et les républicains ont du pain sur la planche. ça va être chaud 🔥

78%
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35%
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35%
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34%
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75%
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26%
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