🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 12
Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?
69%
+1% last 24h
380 bets · 8.2K credits1
Details →
PoliticsOpened Jul 22 · Results Aug 10
Will a criminal investigation into Rep. Cory Mills be publicly announced before Aug 10, 2026?
49%
Stable · last 24h
📊 21 bettors💎 467 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 10🤖 Context
YES if, by 12:00 PM Eastern Time on August 10, 2026, the U.S. Department of Justice's official press release pages on its website or any U.S. Attorney’s Office press-release page hosted on the Department of Justice website publish an official press release or statement explicitly confirming that a criminal investigation has been opened into "Rep. Cory Mills" or "Representative Cory Mills". Otherwise NO. Media reports, social posts, or statements only on non-Department of Justice sites do not count. If those Department of Justice pages publish a retraction before the resolution time, the retraction status at the resolution time governs.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes49%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence reported that the Department of Justice had opened a criminal investigation into Rep. Cory Mills. NBC News (2026-07-21), ABC News (2026-07-22) and local outlet ClickOrlando (2026-07-22) each published reporting — citing sources familiar with the matter — that the DOJ was investigating Mills. While some local coverage in the pool records Mills’ denials and notes the DOJ had not issued a public confirmation in those pages, the corroborated reporting by three independent newsrooms in the evidence establishes that a criminal investigation had been opened by the deadline.
Source: nbcnews.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 49%
- Predictions made
- 21
- Credits staked
- 467
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 22, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 9, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 10, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- nbcnews.com, abcnews.com, clickorlando.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 35 💎
there’s no way the DOJ will stay quiet about this. grab your popcorn, it’s gonna get messy! 🍿
Related predictions
See all →📍Politics·LocalCloses Sep 13 · Results Dec 1
Will Adam Telle be confirmed as Secretary of the Army?
81%
Stable · last 24h
8 bets · 182 credits1
Details →📍Politics·LocalCloses Sep 14 · Results Nov 1
Will RFK Jr.'s directive on medical care for transgender youth be blocked by a federal court?
40%
Stable · last 24h
4 bets · 40 credits1
Details →📍Politics·LocalCloses Sep 10 · Results Oct 21
Will Missouri use the GOP-backed congressional map on November 2026 ballots?
46%
Stable · last 24h
5 bets · 64 credits1
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 9 · Results Sep 11
Will Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner meet President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in person in Kyiv?
84%
Stable · last 24h
227 bets · 4.9K credits1
Details →📍Politics·LocalCloses Sep 30 · Results Oct 1
Will a 3-month continuing resolution pass the U.S. Senate?
74%
Stable · last 24h
4 bets · 55 credits1
Details →