Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

12%
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35%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, between September 27, 2026 and no later than October 15, 2026, the House of Commons votes to create a legislative committee whose remit is exclusively to examine Bill C-39, and that committee-creation vote is reported by two or more independent Canadian national news outlets or appears in the House of Commons Journals/Hansard or Parliament of Canada records. Otherwise NO. • The committee must be designated specifically for Bill C-39 and not be an existing standing committee or a multi-bill committee that includes C-39. • If Parliament is dissolved or Bill C-39 is withdrawn before such a vote, the market resolves NO. • Source: House of Commons Journals, Hansard or Parliament of Canada records, or two or more independent Canadian national news outlets (for example CBC, The Globe and Mail, CTV News, Global News, Reuters).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 403 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the political climate, the likelihood of a dedicated committee for Bill C-39 seems low. Too many variables could derail this before a vote happens.

12%
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60%
-7% last 24h

40%
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64%
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11%
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46%
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