Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?

42%
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62%
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YES if, no later than November 30, 2026, the Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE) publicly announces in an INE official communique or on INE's official website that it has formally established or installed a body described as the "Comisión de Verificación de Integridad en Candidaturas" (or the Spanish name used in the reform) and publishes the appointment of that body's president. Otherwise NO. Resolution will be based on the INE's official announcement, with corroboration from national press outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 62%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the clear timeline and recent political developments, I expect the INE to establish the Comisión de Verificación by the deadline. The pressure is on them to enhance electoral integrity.

42%
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55%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h

86%
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26%
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