Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

69%
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26%
Stable · last 24h
YES if credible reporting by two or more independent national news outlets (for example AFP, Reuters, Le Monde, Le Parisien or major French broadcasters) states that on September 9, 2026 a meeting described in reporting as a "comité de liaison" or as a meeting of representatives of the parliamentary parties Renaissance, Horizons, MoDem and UDI took place. Otherwise NO. If the scheduled September 9 meeting was publicly announced as cancelled or postponed before it began, the market resolves NO. Separate bilateral talks or meetings involving fewer than those parties that are not described as the committee meeting also resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lcp.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 26%, based on 20 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith less than three days left, the absence of any announcements makes a meeting on the 9th unlikely. I doubt credible reports will confirm it.

69%
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79%
Stable · last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h

72%
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30%
Stable · last 24h

37%
Stable · last 24h
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