Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

78%
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76%
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YES if the official 2026 US Open men's singles quarter-final results record Frances Tiafoe as the winner of his quarter-final and list him as one of the four men's singles semi-finalists, otherwise NO. Primary sources are the official US Open match-results or draw pages or the ATP Tour match record, with Reuters, AFP, AP or L'Équipe accepted as corroboration. A win awarded by walkover, retirement, default, or other official decision counts as YES, and postponed matches are settled by the later official result.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 77 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTiafoe's game has been strong lately, and he has the potential to advance. Just a few hours left, but I'm leaning towards a YES here, barring any last-minute surprises.

78%
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20%
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42%
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36%
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73%
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89%
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