Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

72%
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66%
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YES if Frances Tiafoe is officially recorded as the winner of the men's singles fourth-round (round of 16) match versus Daniil Medvedev at the US Open on September 6, 2026, according to the tournament's official match results (USTA / US Open scoreboard) and ordinary reporting such as the ATP match pages, ESPN or the Associated Press. A retirement, walkover, default or disqualification that advances Tiafoe counts as a Tiafoe win. If the match is not played and the tournament records show no winner for this pairing, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.co.uk. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTiafoe has the home crowd and momentum on his side. Medvedev's tough, but I see Tiafoe pulling off the win today.

72%
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80%
Stable · last 24h

68%
Stable · last 24h

50%
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49%
Stable · last 24h

92%
Stable · last 24h
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