Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

78%
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89%
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YES if, when the 2026 US Open women's singles quarter-final round is decided, the official US Open match results or the WTA list Aryna Sabalenka as the winner of her quarter-final and as one of the four women's singles semi-finalists. Wins credited by walkover, retirement, default, or other official decision count as YES. If she withdraws or is not recorded as advancing, the market resolves NO. The quarter-final match is on September 8, 2026.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 89%, based on 86 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Sabalenka’s current form and her potential to outplay her opponent in the quarters today, I expect her to advance. A win seems likely, barring an unforeseen meltdown.

78%
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