Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

24%
-6% last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 27This market pays out yes if Raul Rosas Jr. is officially recorded as the winner of the Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos fight at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas on September 26, 2026, by any official method. The UFC’s official event page lists Raul Rosas Jr. defeating Raoni Barcelos on September 26, 2026 by KO/TKO at 1:38 of round 5. Because the official result names Rosas Jr. as the winner of that bout, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled60%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Rosas Jr. is officially recorded as the winner of the Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos bout held on 2026-09-26 at the Meta APEX (Las Vegas). Target date/window: 2026-09-26 (the event date). Observed value(s): UFC official event page lists the matchup Raul Rosas Jr. vs Raoni Barcelos and shows result: Round 5, Time 1:38, Method KO/TKO; Winner: Raul Rosas Jr. Comparison: the observed official result names Raul Rosas Jr. as the winner of the specified bout on 2026-09-26, so the market condition is met (YES).
Source: ufc.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledRosas Jr. has shown enough potential and skill to get the win against Barcelos. He's on the rise, and this matchup favors him. Expect a solid victory.

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97%
Stable · last 24h

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60%
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34%
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