Will 'The Traitors' win Outstanding Competition Program at the Primetime Emmys?

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YES if, no later than 23:59 CEST on September 24, 2026, Telecinco, Mediaset España, or other mainstream Spanish media publicly report Arkano is still an active contestant on Supervivientes All Stars 3 (not eliminated, expelled, withdrawn, or permanently evacuated). Otherwise NO. If the broadcast schedule shifts, the contestant’s official status on that date governs.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eldiario.es, formulatv.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that we're just over two weeks out, Arkano's participation seems solid. Unless there's a major shake-up, expect him to still be in the running by the 24th.

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32%
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54%
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