On August 16, will any thunderstorm produce an observed wind gust of at least 80 km/h in Albigeois, north‑east of the Toulouse plain, Agenais, Gers, Quercy, Périgord, Landes, or Gironde?

🤖 Context

YES if, between 00:00 and 23:59:59 on August 16, 2026, France local time, at least one thunderstorm‑related observed wind gust of at least 80.0 km/h is recorded at a location explicitly identified as being within one of these areas: Albigeois, north‑east of the Toulouse plain, Agenais, Gers, Quercy, Périgord, Landes, Gironde. Acceptable evidence is a numeric station or observation report, preferably from Météo‑France, an official post‑event report from the relevant departmental prefecture or SDIS, or two independent reputable regional or national news outlets that explicitly name a location in one of the areas and quote a numeric gust ≥ 80.0 km/h. Forecasts, watches or warnings, and qualitative reports without a numeric gust do not count, otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 29 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

35%

Predictions made

29

Credits staked

1,052

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 17, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 35% and NO 65%, based on 29 predictions and 1.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “On August 16, will any thunderstorm produce an observed wind gust of at least 80 km/h in Albigeois, north‑east of the Toulouse plain, Agenais, Gers, Quercy, Périgord, Landes, or Gironde?” real-money betting?

No. “On August 16, will any thunderstorm produce an observed wind gust of at least 80 km/h in Albigeois, north‑east of the Toulouse plain, Agenais, Gers, Quercy, Périgord, Landes, or Gironde?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.