Will at least one Worlds 2026 match be scheduled on October 15?

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YES if Kantar Media's audited audience share for the Season 3 premiere of La ruleta de la suerte noche, broadcast on Antena 3 on 12 September 2026, is at least 12.0% as reported by reputable Spanish media that publish Kantar's daily TV ratings. NO otherwise, including if the premiere is postponed or cancelled and does not air on 12 September 2026. If media report multiple segments under the same title that night, the program's main block average share decides the result.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eldiario.es, formulatv.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith strong anticipation and a loyal fan base, the premiere should easily hit the 12% mark. Expectations are high, especially with Kantar's reliable metrics backing this up.

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63%
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