EntertainmentOpened Sep 7 · Results Sep 19

Koh-Lanta: Will Lola Labesse still be competing on September 18?

56%

Stable · last 24h

📊 124 bettors💎 3.3K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Sep 19

🤖 Context

The rule says that by 11:59 PM CEST on 18 September 2026, Lola Labesse must not have been shown eliminated, withdrawn, or medically evacuated in the French broadcast or in an official TF1 announcement. Episode 4, aired 15 September 2026, and contemporaneous recaps from TF1, Le Figaro and Sortiraparis show several departures but list Joana, Jacques, Naoil and Moussa as the permanent eliminations, and report that Lola was targeted at a council vote yet was not declared eliminated and was said to have a chance to save herself in the next episode. Because she was not shown eliminated, withdrawn, or medically evacuated by 18 September 2026, she remained an active contestant, so the outcome is yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

56%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Contemporaneous episode coverage and the episode video itself (aired/uploaded 2026-09-15) show that Episode 4 (15 Sep 2026) produced several departures but identified four permanent eliminations (Joana, Jacques, Naoil, Moussa). Recaps in Sortiraparis (Sep 16) and TF1/Le Figaro TVMag (Sep 15) specifically report that Lola was the target of a council vote in that episode but was not listed among the permanently eliminated contenders and "had a shot at saving herself" (her fate was described as to be decided in the next episode). The episode video (EP04) and these recaps therefore establish that as of 2026-09-18 Lola Labesse had not suffered an irreversible elimination, withdrawal, or medical evacuation and remained an active contestant.

Source: sortiraparis.com

Key facts

Crowd probability: 56%
Predictions made: 124
Credits staked: 3,327
Comments: 1
Opened: Sep 7, 2026
Closes: Sep 8, 2026
Resolved: Sep 19, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: sortiraparis.com, tvmag.lefigaro.fr, youtube.com

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💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the recent developments in the show, it's likely Lola Labesse will still be in the competition by September 18. She hasn't been eliminated or withdrawn, so I see a YES here.
Sep 7

459 bets · 11.9K credits2

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