Is Ken Paxton ahead of James Talarico on August 29?

🤖 Context

YES if Ken Paxton's reported top-line percentage is strictly greater than James Talarico's in the most recent publicly published Texas Senate head-to-head poll (Paxton vs Talarico) listed on VoteHub's Texas polls page no later than 12:00 AM on August 30, 2026 (Eastern Time). Use the poll with the latest fieldwork end date. If multiple polls share that date, use the one with the later publication date, and if still tied use the poll that appears first on VoteHub. If the poll reports equal percentages or does not publish separate percentages for both named candidates, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against votehub.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

66%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

4

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 30, 2026

Resolution source

votehub.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 66% and NO 34%, based on 1 prediction and 4 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against votehub.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Is Ken Paxton ahead of James Talarico on August 29?” real-money betting?

No. “Is Ken Paxton ahead of James Talarico on August 29?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.