Will at least 19,400 bets be placed on Clutch on September 6 (UTC)?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 24YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on Friday, July 24, defined as the sum in decimal hours of each SNCF train's latest reported delay from local midnight through the day, excluding trains whose latest reported delay was under 5 minutes and counting each train only once, is at least 112 hours according to Clutch's archive computed from SNCF's official real-time open data feed on the French government's transport open data platform. An exact total of 112.0 hours resolves YES. If the archived total is not available at the resolution attempt, the resolver will wait and retry until the finalized archived total is available.
How markets are built and settled43%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived cumulative delay for the local calendar day ending Friday, July 24 must be at least 112.0 hours, counting each SNCF train once using its latest reported delay during that local calendar day and excluding trains whose latest reported delay was under 5 minutes. Target day/instant: local calendar day ending 2026-07-24 (Clutch states this covers the day ending 2026-07-24 21:59 UTC). Observed value (from Clutch's finalized archive): 201.2 cumulative delay hours across 816 trains, finalized 2026-07-24 22:01 UTC covering the local calendar day ending 2026-07-24 21:59 UTC. Comparison: 201.2 >= 112.0, so the market resolves YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledNon, impossible
oh, it's the SNCF we're talking about. 112 hours? bet on it! might as well pack a suitcase for a weekend trip! 😂

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