Did the heatwave in France that began on July 28 become the longest on record?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France publicly states that the heatwave in France that began on July 28, 2026 had a strictly longer continuous duration than the 1983 heatwave. If Météo‑France says it only tied the 1983 duration and did not exceed it, resolve NO. Météo‑France's own definition and duration calculation control, and the same conclusion reported by major French news outlets citing Météo‑France is acceptable corroboration.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 36 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

63%

Predictions made

36

Credits staked

897

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 19, 2026

Closes

Aug 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 25, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 25, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 63% and NO 37%, based on 36 predictions and 897 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Did the heatwave in France that began on July 28 become the longest on record?” real-money betting?

No. “Did the heatwave in France that began on July 28 become the longest on record?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.