Worlds: Will Karmine Corp win the Swiss best-of-3 series against CTBC Flying Oyster?

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71%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 25The market rule says this resolves to yes if, by 12:00 PM Pacific Time on September 25, 2026, Harry Shum Jr. has not been eliminated, withdrawn, disqualified, or otherwise removed and remains an active contestant on Dancing with the Stars Season 35, as shown by ABC's official site or official press materials, with corroborating entertainment coverage allowed. Contemporary recaps show he performed on the season premiere on September 15 and again on the 'Viral Hits' episode that aired September 22, USA TODAY listed him among the safe couples after night one, and week 2 recaps from The Hollywood Reporter and RHAP report that Giada De Laurentiis and Alan Bersten were the eliminated couple. No sources reported any withdrawal, disqualification, or removal through the cutoff, so the facts meet the rule and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled71%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent recaps in the supplied evidence show Harry Shum Jr. performed on the Season 35 premiere (Sept. 15) and again on the following competitive episode (the 'Viral Hits' night aired Sept. 22) and was not named among the eliminated couples. USA TODAY's live recap (Sept. 15) lists Harry Shum Jr. and Jenna Johnson among the safe couples after night one; the Hollywood Reporter week‑2 recap (Sept. 22) and the RHAP week‑2 recap (uploaded Sept. 23) show the week‑2 elimination involved Giada De Laurentiis and Alan Bersten, not Harry. None of the supplied sources report any withdrawal, disqualification, or removal of Harry Shum Jr. up through the supplied coverage, so he remained an active contestant as of the market cutoff.
Source: usatoday.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith Harry Shum Jr. still in the competition and a week to go before the deadline, he’s likely holding on. It’s a tight race, but I’d bet he remains until September 25.

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