Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

69%
+1% last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 1YES if on or before 11:59:59 PM on July 31, 2026, New York local time the UN Security Council posts on the UN's official website a press statement or resolution that (a) explicitly condemns attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea and (b) explicitly identifies the Houthi movement using the name "Houthi", "Ansar Allah", or "Yemen's Houthi rebels". Otherwise NO. Statements from individual member states, regional organizations, NGOs, or posts only on social media do not count.
How markets are built and settled39%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Lol I hope you're right
sure, a statement will drop. the UN loves to, you know, 'condemn' stuff, especially when it involves maritime drama. let's see if they can spell 'Houthi' right! 😂

69%
+1% last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h

47%
Stable · last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy