Suivre l'actu · 28 juillet 2026

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for cumulative Renfe long-distance train delays during the local calendar day ending 2026-07-28 must be >= 159 hours, counting each train once at its latest reported delay and including only trains that were >= 5 minutes late. Target window: local calendar day ending 2026-07-28 (data covers up to 2026-07-28 21:59 UTC). Observed finalized archived total (Clutch) for that day: 153.7 cumulative delay hours across 510 trains (finalized 2026-07-28 22:00 UTC; covers local calendar day ending 2026-07-28 21:59 UTC). Comparison: 153.7 hours < 159 hours, so the condition is not met. Therefore outcome: NO.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived cumulative train delay from local midnight through the target local calendar day (July 28, 2026) is >= 121.0 hours; only SNCF trains with latest reported delay >= 5 minutes are included and each train is counted once using its latest reported delay. Target window: local calendar day ending 2026-07-28 (Clutch finalized daily total). Observed decisive data (from the supplied Clutch finalized daily history): 181.1 cumulative delay hours since local midnight across 733 trains, covering the local calendar day ending 2026-07-28 21:59 UTC; daily total finalized by Clutch at 2026-07-28 22:00 UTC. Comparison: 181.1 hours >= 121.0 hours, so the condition is met. Decisive evidence is the finalized daily total for 2026-07-28.

Pourquoi : An official European Commission page (Directorate-General for European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations) published on 27 July 2026 states: “In France, the EU has deployed 7 planes and 4 helicopters from Czechia, Croatia, Germany, Portugal, Slovakia, Sweden, and Türkiye.” This is an official Commission publication confirming that aircraft from Croatia and Portugal were among those deployed to France under the EU Civil Protection Mechanism, satisfying the market condition.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: Open-Meteo daily.temperature_2m_max for 2026-07-27 at lat 19.4326, lon -99.1332 must be >= 24.0 °C when fetched on or after 2026-07-28T09:00:00-06:00. Supplied observation: 2026-07-27 daily max = 23.5 °C (recorded) in the API response retrieved on 2026-07-28 (local date). Comparison: 23.5 °C >= 24.0 °C is false. Therefore the market resolves NO.

Pourquoi : The SMN/CONAGUA 'Aviso Especial' (No. 348) issued 2026-07-28 at 09:00 explicitly states: 'El Semáforo de Alerta Volcánica para el Volcán Popocatépetl se encuentra en AMARILLO FASE 2.' The CENAPRED monitoring bulletin for 28 July 2026 likewise states: 'El Semáforo de Alerta Volcánica del Popocatépetl se encuentra en AMARILLO FASE 2.' No provided source reports a different Semáforo value prior to or by 14:00 CDT on 2026-07-28 (SMN noted the next scheduled aviso at 14:00). Therefore, based on the supplied evidence, neither agency reported a value other than 'AMARILLO FASE 2' by 14:00 CDT on 2026-07-28.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: Open-Meteo daily.temperature_2m_max for calendar date 2026-07-27 must be >= 27.0 °C. Target date: 2026-07-27. Observed value (from supplied Open-Meteo data): daily.temperature_2m_max = 28.4 °C for 2026-07-27 (recorded). Comparison: 28.4 ≥ 27.0 is true. Therefore the market resolves YES.

Pourquoi : Roblox’s official Newsroom announcement (published 2026-07-16) explicitly states that testing for Build would begin July 28 and that select Build features would be available in public alpha to users in New Zealand beginning July 28. Same-day coverage (published 2026-07-28) reports that Build entered public alpha in New Zealand on July 28, 2026. The company announcement plus same-day reporting together confirm the feature was launched into testing and made available to creators on July 28, 2026.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: On Box Office Mojo's US weekend chart for 2026W30 (Jul 24-26, 2026), the film(s) ranked #1 must have Weeks = 1 OR be marked 'New This Week'. Target window: Jul 24-26, 2026. Observations from the supplied BOM page: Rank 1 = The Odyssey; Weeks column value = 2; 'New This Week' indicator = false. There is no tie at #1. Comparison: Weeks(2) ≠ 1 AND New This Week = false → condition not met. Therefore the market resolves NO.

Pourquoi : The official ASO Tour de France rankings page (letour.fr) for Stage 21 (the final stage, 2026-07-26) lists Paul Seixas in 4th place in the final general classification, behind Tadej Pogačar, Remco Evenepoel and Isaac del Toro. Therefore he did not finish in the top three. Independent media reports in the supplied evidence corroborate the same final GC order.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: Binance BTC/USDT last executed trade price at or immediately before 2026-07-28T10:00:00+00:00 must be >= 65,000 USDT. Target instant: 2026-07-28 10:00 UTC. Observed value at that instant from supplied Binance data: 63,393.99 USDT (2026-07-28 10:00 UTC). Comparison: 63,393.99 < 65,000, so the condition is not met. Outcome: NO.

Pourquoi : Contemporaneous sources derived from Météo‑France data for 2026-07-28 report only vigilance jaune for the phenomenon 'canicule' and do not report any département at vigilance rouge on that date. Franceinfo (published 2026-07-28) explicitly states its content is generated from Météo‑France data and lists 20 départements in vigilance jaune for 28 July. CNews (published 2026-07-28) likewise lists those 20 départements in vigilance jaune for that day. Météo‑France’s informational page (23/07/2026) notes the last vigilance rouge canicule was triggered on 2026-06-21. None of the supplied evidence shows any département at Niveau Rouge for canicule overlapping 2026-07-28, so based on the provided sources the official Météo‑France departmental vigilance product did not show red for canicule on that date.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: 'Moana' must be listed at Rank 1 on Box Office Mojo's France weekend chart for weekend 2026W28 (URL: /weekend/2026W28/?area=FR). Target window shown on the page: weekend 2026W28 (labeled July 15–19, 2026). Observed value(s): Rank 1 = The Odyssey (weekend gross $14,622,308). 'Moana' is listed at Rank 2 (weekend gross $3,161,000; total gross $10,158,000). There is no tie at Rank 1. Comparison: Moana's rank (2) is not 1, so the condition is unmet → NO.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: On Box Office Mojo's France weekend chart for weekend 2026W28, the film(s) at Rank 1 must be marked 'New This Week'. Target: the Box Office Mojo weekend 2026W28 chart (the supplied page shows date range July 15–19, 2026). Observed value(s): the Rank 1 row on that chart is 'The Odyssey' and its 'New This Week' column is shown as true. Comparison: at least one Rank 1 film is marked 'New This Week' → condition satisfied, so the market resolves YES.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: 'Toy Story 5' weekend gross > 'Moana' weekend gross on Box Office Mojo's France weekend chart for weekend 2026W28 (page provided). Target/window observed on the page: French 2026 Weekend 28 (July 15-19, 2026). Observed values from that page: Toy Story 5 weekend gross = $2,336,000; Moana weekend gross = $3,161,000. Comparison: $2,336,000 is not strictly greater than $3,161,000, so the condition is false. Both films have weekend grosses listed; therefore the market resolves NO.

Pourquoi : The SMN's official Aviso page for Huracán Genevieve (Aviso No.15, Emisión: 2026-07-27 21:00 horas) — the SMN live source provided — shows the 'Recomendaciones' entry reading: 'Debido a su distancia y trayectoria no se emiten recomendaciones.' The page also notes the next aviso was scheduled for 03:15 (hora del Centro) but contains no replacement product with different recommendation text by the deadline. Media coverage cited the same SMN message. Therefore there is no evidence in the supplied sources that SMN published an Aviso (or replacement product) before 2026-07-28 03:15 (UTC-06:00) whose 'Recomendaciones' text differed from that phrase.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: Open-Meteo daily temperature_2m_max for 2026-07-27 >= 34.0 °C. Observed value in supplied data: 2026-07-27 temperature_2m_max = 34.0 °C (recorded). Comparison: 34.0 >= 34.0 is true, so the market resolves YES.

Pourquoi : Extracted condition: Open-Meteo daily 'temperature_2m_max' at lat 48.8566, lon 2.3522 for 2026-07-27 >= 27.0 °C. Target date/window: 2026-07-27. Observed value (from supplied data): temperature_2m_max = 27.1 °C for Monday 2026-07-27 (recorded). Comparison: 27.1 °C >= 27.0 °C is true, so the market resolves YES.

Pourquoi : The SMN/CONAGUA official advisory (Aviso No. 15) issued 2026-07-27 21:00 (local) explicitly lists Vientos máximos sostenidos: 230 km/h, which is above the 209 km/h (130 mph) threshold. The advisory emission time (2026-07-27 21:00) is on or before the market deadline (2026-07-27 23:59:59 Mexico City time).