Le parti Russie unie obtiendra-t-il au moins 226 des 450 sièges à la Douma ?

Pourquoi : - Premise (RBC, 2026-09-21): The 2026 State Duma election was held on 18–20 September; the Duma has 450 seats, with 225 allocated by party lists and 225 by single-member districts. Source: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/21/09/2026/6ab090ce05f083893cc9d935 → This establishes the election, chamber size, and allocation method. - Premise (Associated Press via Spectrum News, 2026-09-25): At a Central Election Commission (CEC) meeting reporting the official results, CEC chair Ella Pamfilova said United Russia got 349 out of 450 seats. Source: https://baynews9.com/fl/tampa/ap-top-news/2026/09/25/final-results-of-russias-election-show-the-kremlin-party-won-a-record-number-of-parliament-seats → This provides the final, official seat total for United Russia. - Institutional rule: In Russia, the CEC is the authority that certifies and announces official election results; thus “official results reported by the CEC” constitutes the final certified allocation. - Inference: If the final certified allocation gives United Russia 349 seats, then it has at least 226 seats. - Conclusion: United Russia won at least 226 of the 450 seats in the final, certified allocation.