
La multitud estaba 61% segura, y se equivocó.
61%
Cuota final
“Pedir información a Wikipedia es como pedirle a mi carnicero que me haga una receta médica...”
“Declararse candidato siempre hace aumentar las intenciones. Veremos con el tiempo. Mélenchon es bastante estable, incluso ha aumentado desde su declaración.”
Por qué: Extracted condition: In the most recent 'main voting-intention' poll listed on the Wikipedia page as of 2026-09-16T00:00:00+02:00 (the poll with the latest fieldwork end date; if tied, use the poll appearing first), Édouard Philippe's reported first-round percentage must be strictly greater than Jean‑Luc Mélenchon's. Observed most-recent poll from the supplied data: OpinionWay, fieldwork 9–10 Sep 2026 (fieldwork end date 2026-09-10). That poll's published first-round percentages (as shown): Jean‑Luc Mélenchon = 16; Édouard Philippe = 16. Comparison: Édouard Philippe (16) is not strictly greater than Mélenchon (16); they are equal to the same reported precision, which the rules treat as a tie and therefore resolves NO.
Fuente: en.wikipedia.orgResuelto el 15 sept


















