El Resumen · 21 de agosto de 2026

Por qué: Extracted condition: Binance BTC/USDT most-recent executed trade price with server timestamp ≤ 2026-08-21T22:00:00Z must be ≥ $70,000. Target instant: 2026-08-21T22:00:00Z (UTC). Supplied Binance observation for 2026-08-21 22:00 UTC = $78,505.14. Comparison: 78,505.14 ≥ 70,000 → condition satisfied → YES.

Por qué: Contemporary match trackers in the provided evidence mark the match as completed on Aug 21, 2026 and show Brandon Nakashima as the three-set winner (scoreline reported as 7-6, 4-6, 6-3). Tennis.com’s match page is listed as "Completed" with the per-set numbers, and Flashscore’s match page shows the match as Finished with Nakashima winning 2–1. Therefore Taylor Fritz did not beat Brandon Nakashima in that match.

Por qué: Multiple independent sources in the supplied evidence confirm that the In Extenso Supersevens first stage took place at Biarritz on 21 August 2026 and report match activity/results from that day. The FFR page and the LNR Supersevens announcement list Biarritz (Aguiléra) for the 21–22 August stage; Rugbyrama provided live, timestamped coverage and match results on 21/08/2026; club sites (Castres, Stade Rochelais) and a match-results aggregator report specific matches and scores from the Biarritz first day. These contemporaneous reports establish that at least one official first-stage Supersevens match was played in Biarritz on 2026-08-21.

Por qué: Extracted condition: Resolves YES if Kalshi market KXWTAMATCH-26AUG21BEJKEY-BEJ is marked 'finalized' by Kalshi with Official finalized result = YES (meaning Sara Bejlek defeated Keys in the 2026 WTA Cincinnati Quarterfinal after at least one ball was played). Target: the Kalshi official finalization state for that ticker. Observed value(s): supplied Kalshi data shows Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: the observed official finalization (finalized + YES) satisfies the market's resolution condition, so the market resolves YES.

Por qué: The official SMN 'Aviso Especial por la actividad del Volcán Popocatépetl' page included in the evidence (the SMN page re-fetched live) shows No. Aviso 390 dated 21 de Agosto del 2026 with 'Emisión: 09:00h'. That page notes a 'Próximo Aviso: 14:00 horas del día 21 de agosto de 2026' but the supplied (re-fetched) content does not include any bulletin from 21 Aug 2026 that displays an 'Emisión' later than 09:00. No other provided sources show a 21 Aug bulletin with an 'Emisión' timestamp later than 09:00. Because the primary official bulletin page in the evidence, re-fetched live, still displays Emisión: 09:00 for 2026-08-21 and no later Emisión is present in the supplied material, there is positive evidence the requested later-Emisión bulletin was not published by 2026-08-21T14:00:00-05:00.

Por qué: Contemporaneous match reports from the Supersevens Biarritz stage on 2026-08-21 record that Stephen Parez-Edo Martin scored a try for Stade Rochelais in the pool match vs Section Paloise. Rugbyrama's live coverage notes the try (La Rochelle 5-0) and the Stade Rochelais club live blog records at 12:20 that "les Rochelais s'imposent grâce à un essai de Stephen Parez-Edo Martin." Those direct match reports show he took the field and participated in an official Supersevens match on 2026-08-21, which establishes he played (>= one minute) in that event.

Por qué: The official SMN page provided in the evidence (primary source, re-fetched live) for “Aviso Especial por la actividad del Volcán Colima” shows bulletin No. 322 dated 20 August 2026 with “Emisión: 10:00h” (i.e. 10:00 local on 2026-08-20). The supplied evidence contains no bulletin titled “Aviso Especial por la actividad del Volcán de Colima” that carries an Emisión timestamp later than 2026-08-21T10:00:00-05:00, and no other supplied source shows such a later Emisión. Based on the official SMN page as supplied, there is positive evidence that no qualifying bulletin existed by 2026-08-21T14:00:00-05:00.

Por qué: Open‑Meteo’s primary API (in Mexico City local timezone) reports a daily maximum temperature of 24.9 °C for 2026‑08‑20 at the specified Mexico City coordinates, which is ≥ 23.0 °C.

Por qué: Multiple independent news reports in the supplied evidence state that Mexico’s prosecutors took the UIF money‑laundering complaint to the courts and identified Raúl Rocha Cantú as a named subject. El Financiero (Aug 1, 2026) reports the FGR “judicializó” a carpeta de investigación por presuntas operaciones con recursos de procedencia ilícita naming Rocha; LatinTimes (citing Reforma) says the FGR requested a new arrest warrant and submitted the money‑laundering case to a federal judge naming Rocha; a Record/Record.mx report in the pool likewise describes the FGR judicializing the UIF complaint (folder FED/.../0001319/2025) that identifies Rocha as the probable beneficiary/controller. These independent outlets consistently report that prosecutors filed the UIF‑backed money‑laundering case in federal court naming Rocha by early August 2026 (some outlets note a judge had yet to approve an arrest warrant, but all report the prosecution’s formal judicial filing). On this basis the evidence shows Mexican criminal authorities filed formal criminal proceedings in Mexico naming Raúl Rocha for the federal financial crime (operaciones con recursos de procedencia ilícita) by Aug 20, 2026.

Por qué: Multiple independent cycling news outlets in the supplied evidence report that Ewen Costiou won the overall/general classification of the 2026 Tour du Limousin. CyclingFlash’s report explicitly states “The overall victory went to Ewen Costiou” (final stage coverage dated 21 August 2026). FantaCycling’s write-up likewise says he “sealed the overall title for the second consecutive year” (21 Aug 2026). Cyclingnews also has a matching report (title/URL in the evidence: “Ewen Costiou wins the overall for a second time …”). The pool also contains stage-by-stage coverage (L'Équipe, team pages) showing he held the leader’s jersey into the final stage and no source in the provided evidence contradicts the final result. Based on these independent, concordant reports, the correct settlement is YES.

Por qué: The supplied evidence includes the Conseil constitutionnel’s own decision page (Decision No. 2026-911 DC) and multiple independent news reports (e.g. Reuters, Le Monde) showing that on 14 August 2026 the Constitutional Council struck down/censured the law’s key provision (Article 1 / article 1er) of the law adopted 21 July 2026 prohibiting social‑media access for under‑15s. The decision found the contested provision disproportionate with respect to freedom of expression and lacking required privacy/age‑verification safeguards, and thus removed/annulled that operative article so it could not enter into force as adopted.

Por qué: Extracted condition: the first Nasdaq stock screener reading at or after 2026-08-21 15:00 UTC must show AAPL market cap strictly greater than NVDA. Target instant/window: on or after 2026-08-21 15:00 UTC. Observed authoritative screener reading: 2026-08-21 16:00 UTC (screener current reading, which the market rule treats as the first reading at/after the target). Observed values from that reading: NVDA market cap = $5,232,282,000,000; AAPL market cap = $4,539,738,601,700. Comparison: AAPL (4,539,738,601,700) is less than NVDA (5,232,282,000,000), so AAPL is not strictly greater. Therefore the market resolves NO.

Por qué: The National Hurricane Center's season summary (TCR index) explicitly lists Tropical Storm Cristobal with dates 12 Aug–13 Aug 2026. Independent news outlets (e.g., CBS12 and Tallahassee.com) reported Cristobal formed / was classified on 12 Aug 2026. Those sources together show that during the 2026-08-10 to 2026-08-20 window a system in the North Atlantic basin was officially classified as a tropical storm.

Por qué: The Open-Meteo daily dataset for Madrid’s coordinates (Europe/Madrid timezone) shows a recorded daily maximum temperature of 30.7 °C on 2026-08-20, which is above the 29.0 °C threshold.

Por qué: Primary daily data for Paris (Europe/Paris timezone) from Open-Meteo reports the 2 m daily maximum temperature on 2026-08-20 as 25.4 °C, which is below 26.0 °C. Hence the condition was not met.

Por qué: All supplied, independent news reports about the couple’s private celebration (published the week of Aug 6, 2026) indicate the event was held under strict privacy controls and do not show any official/professional wedding photograph meeting the contract conditions. Two Spanish-language outlets explicitly state no photographs from the event have been released and that guests/staff were required to surrender phones or sign NDAs (e.g. 20minutos; Spoiler.mx). Other outlets (TMZ, Page Six, E! Online, ExtraTV, NTN24) that covered the celebration only publish or describe paparazzi images of the couple afterwards (credited to agencies such as Backgrid/People/TMZ) or report on the private party — none of the supplied pages contains a published photograph taken at the wedding itself that is credited to the couple’s official representatives or to an accredited photo agency, nor do any supplied sources show a wedding photo posted on the couple’s verified channels and then reported by a national/international outlet. Because the evidence pool contains explicit statements that no wedding images were released and the only photos in the pool are paparazzi shots of the couple outside the event (not photos from the ceremony/party credited as official), the condition in the resolution was not met by the deadline.

Por qué: All decisive sources in the evidence pool (Grande Prêmio, PlanetF1, Yahoo/GPblog) dated 20 Aug 2026 report Fernando Alonso explicitly saying he has not set a timeline and has not decided whether to continue racing in F1 in 2027 — e.g. he “ruled out setting a deadline” and said he will “see in the next days or weeks or months” and would consider driving or another role with Aston Martin. None of the supplied pages show a public statement by Alonso that he will end his F1 driving career and will not compete as a race driver in 2027; the contemporaneous reports instead record the opposite (undecided/open). Therefore, based on the provided evidence, the correct settlement is NO.

Por qué: Multiple independent sources in the provided evidence unambiguously report that Netflix released La Captura (Facing El Chapo) on August 21, 2026, and that it was available on Netflix in Mexico. Netflix's own newsroom lists the film with an August 21 release date, and Mexican outlets corroborate availability — El Financiero explicitly states the film would be available on streaming from 1:00 a.m. (Mexico City/Central Time) on 21 August 2026. Infobae and Variety likewise report a worldwide/Netflix release on that date. These independent, consistent reports establish the film was playable for Mexico-registered accounts at some time during the Mexico City local date 2026-08-21.