CienciaApertura 17 jul · Resultados el 20 jul

Will one or more magnitude 5.4 or greater earthquakes occur inside the Philippines box before July 21, 2026?

45%

Estable · últimas 24 h

📊 3 apostantes💎 21 en juego

ResueltoNo

Resuelto: No

Resultados el 20 jul

🤖 Contexto

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) earthquake catalog lists one or more events with reported magnitude at least 5.4 whose origin time is on or after July 18, 2026 00:00 UTC and strictly before July 21, 2026 00:00 UTC and whose epicenter lies inside latitudes 5 to 20 and longitudes 117 to 127. Otherwise NO. If the USGS event service is unavailable at resolution time, the market will be resolved once the USGS catalog is reachable and the authoritative event list for that interval can be obtained.

Cómo se crean y se resuelven los mercados

Cómo se resolvió este mercado

45%

Probabilidad final de la comunidad

La multitud estaba 55% segura, y acertó.

Por qué: Extracted condition: USGS must list >=1 event with magnitude >= 5.4, origin time >= 2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00 and < 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00, and epicenter within latitude 5 to 20 and longitude 117 to 127. Target window: 2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00 (inclusive) through 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00 (exclusive). Observed value: the supplied USGS query for that exact window/box/magnitude returned 0 matching earthquake(s). Comparison: 0 matching events < 1 required, so the condition is not met. Therefore outcome = NO.

Fuente: earthquake.usgs.gov

Datos clave

Probabilidad de la comunidad: 45%
Predicciones realizadas: 3
Créditos apostados: 21
Comentarios: 0
Apertura: 17 jul 2026
Cierre: 18 jul 2026
Resuelto el: 20 jul 2026
Resultado: No
Fuente de resolución: earthquake.usgs.gov

🔍 Fuentes

Fuentes usadas para resolver este mercado

Cómo se crean y se resuelven los mercados

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