CienciaApertura 17 jul · Resultados el 20 jul

Will an earthquake of magnitude 5.5 or greater occur inside the Indonesia rectangle (lat −11 to 6, lon 95 to 141) before July 21, 2026?

45%

Estable · últimas 24 h

📊 3 apostantes💎 23 en juego

ResueltoNo

Resuelto: No

Resultados el 20 jul

🤖 Contexto

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey earthquake catalog shows one or more events with reported magnitude at least 5.5 whose origin time is on or after 00:00 UTC on July 18, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on July 21, 2026, and whose epicenter lies inside the rectangle with latitude between −11 and 6 and longitude between 95 and 141. Otherwise NO. If the USGS event service is unavailable at resolution time, the market will be resolved once the USGS catalog is reachable and the authoritative event list for that interval can be obtained.

Cómo se crean y se resuelven los mercados

Cómo se resolvió este mercado

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Probabilidad final de la comunidad

La multitud estaba 55% segura, y acertó.

Por qué: Extracted condition: the USGS FDSN query must show one or more events with reported magnitude >= 5.5 whose origin time is >= 2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00 and < 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00 and whose epicenter lies inside lat [-11, 6], lon [95, 141]. Target window: 2026-07-18T00:00:00Z (inclusive) through 2026-07-21T00:00:00Z (exclusive). Observed value(s): the supplied authoritative query result for that exact query returned “0 matching earthquake(s).” Comparison: 0 matching events < 1 required → condition not met. Outcome: NO.

Fuente: earthquake.usgs.gov