CienciaApertura 17 jul · Resultados el 20 jul

Will an earthquake of magnitude 5.0 or greater occur in the Alaska region before July 21, 2026?

47%

Estable · últimas 24 h

📊 2 apostantes💎 15 en juego

ResueltoNo

Resuelto: No

Resultados el 20 jul

🤖 Contexto

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey earthquake catalog lists one or more events with reported magnitude greater than or equal to 5.0 whose origin time is on or after 00:00 UTC on July 18, 2026 and strictly before 00:00 UTC on July 21, 2026, and whose epicenter lies inside the box bounded by latitudes 51 to 72 and longitudes -170 to -130, according to the USGS catalog. Otherwise NO. If the USGS event service is unavailable at resolution time, the market will be resolved once the USGS catalog is reachable and the authoritative event list for that interval can be obtained.

Cómo se crean y se resuelven los mercados

Cómo se resolvió este mercado

47%

Probabilidad final de la comunidad

La multitud estaba 53% segura, y acertó.

Por qué: Extracted condition: the USGS catalog must list one or more events with reported magnitude >= 5.0 whose origin time is >= 2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00 and < 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00, and whose epicenter lies inside latitudes 51 to 72 and longitudes -170 to -130. Target window: 2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00 (inclusive) through 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00 (exclusive). Observed value: the supplied USGS query (starttime=2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00, endtime=2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00, minmagnitude=5, minlatitude=51, maxlatitude=72, minlongitude=-170, maxlongitude=-130) returned 0 matching earthquake(s) ("no matching earthquakes"). Comparison: 0 events < 1 required, so the condition is not satisfied. Outcome: NO.

Fuente: earthquake.usgs.gov