CienciaApertura 17 jul · Resultados el 20 jul

Will a magnitude 5.1 or greater earthquake be recorded in the Japan region (latitude 30–46, longitude 128–146) before July 21, 2026?

48%

Estable · últimas 24 h

📊 2 apostantes💎 12 en juego

ResueltoNo

Resuelto: No

Resultados el 20 jul

🤖 Contexto

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) earthquake catalog shows one or more events with reported magnitude 5.1 or greater whose origin time is on or after 00:00 UTC on July 18, 2026 and before 00:00 UTC on July 21, 2026, and whose epicenter lies inside latitude 30 to 46 and longitude 128 to 146 according to the USGS catalog. Otherwise NO. If the USGS event service is unavailable at resolution time, the market will be resolved once the USGS catalog is reachable and the authoritative event list for that interval can be obtained.

Cómo se crean y se resuelven los mercados

Cómo se resolvió este mercado

48%

Probabilidad final de la comunidad

La multitud estaba 52% segura, y acertó.

Por qué: Extracted condition: USGS FDSN query must show one or more events with reported magnitude >= 5.1, origin time >= 2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00 and < 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00, and epicenter within latitude 30 to 46 and longitude 128 to 146. Target window: [2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00, 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00). Observed value (from the supplied USGS query result): 0 matching earthquake(s) — “(no matching earthquakes)”. Comparison: 0 events < 1 required, so the condition is not satisfied. Outcome: NO.

Fuente: earthquake.usgs.gov

Datos clave

Probabilidad de la comunidad: 48%
Predicciones realizadas: 2
Créditos apostados: 12
Comentarios: 0
Apertura: 17 jul 2026
Cierre: 18 jul 2026
Resuelto el: 20 jul 2026
Resultado: No
Fuente de resolución: earthquake.usgs.gov

🔍 Fuentes

Fuentes usadas para resolver este mercado

Cómo se crean y se resuelven los mercados

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