Der Rückblick · 21. Juli 2026

Warum: Extracted condition: ProCyclingStats GC page must list Remco Evenepoel as rank 1 (overall leader) in the official GC standings table after Stage 16 (Évian-les-Bains → Thonon-les-Bains) of the 2026 Tour de France, by 8:00 PM on 2026-07-21. Target/window: GC standings as shown on the ProCyclingStats GC page after Stage 16, evaluated by the resolution deadline. Observed data (from supplied page snapshot): the GC page content contains only table headers for the standings but no rider rows or standing entries; there is no rank‑1 row and the string “Remco Evenepoel” does not appear in the provided content. Comparison and rule application: the page does not show a clear rank‑1 entry for Remco Evenepoel; per the market’s resolution rule (which specifies that absence or an unupdated GC table by the resolution time resolves NO), the market resolves NO.

Warum: Extracted condition: 'Evil Dead Burn is listed at Rank 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (Jul 17–19, 2026). A tie occupying a rank within 1–5 also counts as YES.' Target/window: Weekend Jul 17–19, 2026 (2026W29); BOM publication deadline 2026-07-21T12:00:00-04:00. Observed evidence: Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (Jul 17–19, 2026) (the supplied page) lists 'Evil Dead Burn' at Rank 5 (row: Rank 5 | Evil Dead Burn | $5,000,000 ...). Comparison: Rank 5 is within 1–5, so the market condition is satisfied. The chart is present on Box Office Mojo prior to/at the market's resolution, so no fallback is needed.

Warum: Extracted condition: Box Office Mojo Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (July 17–19, 2026) must show Weekend Gross(Minions & Monsters) > Weekend Gross(Toy Story 5). Target window/chart: July 17-19, 2026 (2026W29). Observed from the supplied Box Office Mojo 2026W29 chart: Minions & Monsters Weekend Gross = $14,800,000; Toy Story 5 Weekend Gross = $14,800,000. Comparison: $14,800,000 is not strictly greater than $14,800,000. The market rule also specifies identical grosses resolve NO. Therefore outcome = NO.

Warum: Extracted condition: At least one of {Obsession; Supergirl; Disclosure Day; Backrooms; Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass} must appear at Rank 1–5 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (Jul 17–19, 2026). Target window/instant: the Jul 17–19, 2026 weekend chart. Observed values from Box Office Mojo (2026W29 weekend chart for Jul 17–19, 2026): Rank 1 = The Odyssey; Rank 2 = Moana; Rank 3 = Minions & Monsters; Rank 4 = Toy Story 5; Rank 5 = Evil Dead Burn. Observed ranks of the specified films: Obsession = Rank 8; Supergirl = Rank 9; Disclosure Day = Rank 10; Backrooms = Rank 11; Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass = Rank 15. Comparison: none of the listed films appear at ranks 1–5 (no top-5 ties include any of them). Therefore the market resolves NO.

Warum: Extracted condition: The film at Rank 1 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (July 17–19, 2026) must show Weeks = 1. Target: Box Office Mojo weekend chart for 2026W29 (July 17–19, 2026). Observed: Box Office Mojo's 2026W29 page lists Rank 1 = 'The Odyssey' and its Weeks column = 1. No tie for Rank 1 is shown. Comparison: Weeks value (1) equals the required value (1) → condition met. Therefore the market resolves YES.

Warum: Extracted condition: 'Young Washington' must be listed at rank 1–5 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (the Jul 17–19, 2026 weekend). Target: Box Office Mojo weekend chart for Jul 17–19, 2026 (2026W29). Observed evidence: the supplied Box Office Mojo 2026W29 weekend chart (Jul 17–19, 2026) lists 'Young Washington' at Rank 7 with weekend gross $3,678,487 (Theaters 2,275; Total Gross $41,018,236). No tie is shown that would place the film within ranks 1–5. Comparison: observed rank 7 is not within 1–5, so the condition is not met. Outcome: NO.

Warum: Extracted condition: Moana must be listed at Rank 1 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (the Jul 17-19, 2026 weekend). Target window: Jul 17-19, 2026 (weekend chart 2026W29). Observed evidence (BoxOfficeMojo 2026W29 weekend chart): Rank 1 = The Odyssey ($124,500,000); Rank 2 = Moana ($19,000,000). No tie is shown for Rank 1. Comparison: Moana is not Rank 1 and is not tied for Rank 1 on the published 2026W29 chart, so the market resolves NO.

Warum: Extracted condition: Toy Story 5 must be listed at rank 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (Jul 17–19, 2026). Target window/instant: Weekend Jul 17–19, 2026 (2026W29). Observed value: the supplied Box Office Mojo 2026W29 weekend chart lists 'Toy Story 5' at Rank 4 with a weekend gross of $14,800,000. Comparison: Rank 4 is within 1–5, and no tie affecting the rank is shown. Therefore the condition is satisfied → YES.

Warum: Extracted condition: the most recent executed Binance BTC/USDT trade with timestamp ≤ 2026-07-21T10:00:00.000 UTC must have price ≥ 65,000 USDT to resolve YES. Target instant: 2026-07-21T10:00:00 UTC. Observed value: the supplied Binance data gives the price at 2026-07-21 10:00 UTC as 66292 USDT (the price at that exact instant). Comparison: 66292 ≥ 65000 is true, so the market resolves YES.

Warum: Multiple contemporaneous, authoritative sources in the provided evidence confirm the meeting took place on the scheduled dates. The WHO’s published Progress Declaration states participants “assembled at the United Nations in New York on 20 and 21 July 2026” (the meeting’s outcome document). UN Meetings/press material (20 July 2026) lists the General Assembly high‑level meeting on Improving Global Road Safety, and independent reporting by Xinhua (21 July 2026) describes and photographs Jean Todt and WHO DG Tedros addressing the Assembly on 20 July and reports the Assembly’s adoption of the draft resolution. Additional UN/UNRSF press and UN WebTV event pages show related events and live streams on 20 July. None of the supplied sources report a cancellation or postponement. On this basis the meeting did take place as scheduled on 20–21 July 2026 in New York.

Warum: Extracted condition: Polymarket's official final resolution for the mirrored market "Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?" must be YES. Target: Polymarket's official final resolution for that mirrored market. Observed value(s): Polymarket official market state shows the mirrored market is resolved (closed: yes) with outcome prices Yes=1, No=0. Comparison: Yes=1 indicates Polymarket resolved the mirrored market to YES, which satisfies the market's resolution condition. Decisive observation date (data snapshot): 2026-07-21.

Warum: Multiple independent news reports in the supplied evidence show U.S. forces carried out additional strikes on Iran on July 20, 2026. CNN’s live coverage was updated on July 20 and reports the U.S. completed another night of strikes; CBS News and DW report CENTCOM launched another round (described as the ninth/tenth consecutive night of strikes); AP’s July-20 live coverage likewise reports the U.S. military carrying out its next round of strikes. None of the supplied pages report the July 20 strike being canceled or postponed. Therefore, based on the provided evidence, the scheduled strike did take place on July 20, 2026.