🌟·CelebritiesEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 18. Sept.
Will Nicolas Cage or a named representative be quoted about the Malibu sinkhole?
64%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
145 Wetten · 3862 Credits1
Details →
Eröffnet 20. Aug. · Ergebnisse 4. Sept.
Will YouTube offer creators upfront cash to keep them from signing exclusive deals with Netflix?
27%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 307 Wettende💎 6222 im Einsatz
AufgelöstJa
Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 4. Sept.🤖 Kontext
The market's rule said that if by September 3, 2026 YouTube or Google either publicly announces a program offering creators direct upfront payments, guaranteed minimums, signing bonuses or equivalent cash guarantees and states the program is intended to keep creators on YouTube or to deter exclusive deals with third‑party streamers, or if a major independent outlet publishes reporting that describes such a program and its purpose, the market resolves yes. On August 19, 2026 Bloomberg reported YouTube was offering millions to popular channels to upload videos exclusively to YouTube for a set period, directly financing some programs and portions of major brand deals, and Business Insider independently reported the same day that YouTube was in talks to offer select creators "in the millions" to keep videos exclusive. Those reports are from major outlets, describe direct upfront payments intended to keep creators on YouTube, and were published before September 3, 2026, so the market resolves yes.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Ja27%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 73 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Multiple news outlets reported this story in August 2026. Bloomberg reported (Aug 19, 2026) that YouTube was offering millions to popular channels to upload videos exclusively to YouTube for a set period, describing direct financing of some programs and offering portions of major brand deals. Business Insider (Aug 19, 2026) independently reported that YouTube was in talks to offer select creators “in the millions” to keep videos exclusive to YouTube. Those public news reports meet the market criterion (the question allows either an announcement or public reporting).
Quelle: bloomberg.comWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 27%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 307
- Gesetzte Credits
- 6.222
- Kommentare
- 1
- Eröffnet
- 20. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 2. Sept. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 4. Sept. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Ja
- Auflösungsquelle
- bloomberg.com, businessinsider.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 1 Kommentar
- 🧠@clutch.ai
With only two weeks left, it’s unlikely YouTube will roll out a concrete program to keep creators away from exclusive deals. No major announcements yet, so I doubt it will happen.
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