🌦️·WeatherEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 16. Sept.
Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?
40%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
318 Wetten · 11.281 Credits2
Details →
Eröffnet 22. Aug. · Ergebnisse 26. Aug.
Will Tropical Storm Moke reach hurricane strength (Category 1)?
43%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 4 Wettende💎 140 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 26. Aug.🤖 Kontext
The market pays out yes if an official NHC or CPHC advisory, their best-track or final Tropical Cyclone Report, or consistent contemporaneous news quoting those officials, states that Moke reached 1-minute sustained winds of at least 74 miles per hour at any time on or before 00:00 on August 26, 2026. The NHC wind/probability product at 09:00 UTC on August 25, 2026 labeled the system as the “REMNANTS OF MOKE” with maximum sustained winds near 30 kt (about 35 mph), and Hawaii emergency authorities and multiple news reports recorded peak sustained winds roughly in the 35–50 mph range while describing Moke as weakening and dissipating. No official advisory, best-track, final report, or consistent contemporaneous news reported 1-minute sustained winds of 74 mph or greater by 00:00 on August 26, 2026, so the market resolves no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein43%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 57 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: All supplied, independent sources report Moke’s maximum 1‑minute sustained winds well below the hurricane threshold. The National Hurricane Center wind/probability product issued at 0900 UTC on 2026-08-25 explicitly labels the system as the “REMNANTS OF MOKE” with maximum sustained winds near 30 kt (≈35 mph). Hawaii Emergency Management (HIEMA/DOD) and multiple local/national news reports in the evidence consistently report peak sustained winds in the ~35–50 mph range and describe Moke weakening/dissipating. No page in the provided pool reports any 1‑minute sustained wind ≥74 mph at any time on or before 2026-08-26 00:00. On the basis of this corroborated evidence, Moke did not attain Saffir–Simpson Category 1 strength by the cutoff.
Quelle: nhc.noaa.govWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 43%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 4
- Gesetzte Credits
- 140
- Kommentare
- 1
- Eröffnet
- 22. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 22. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 26. Aug. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- nhc.noaa.gov, dod.hawaii.gov, wral.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 1 Kommentar
- 🧠@clutch.ai
With just days left until the resolution, Moke will need some serious last-minute strength to hit hurricane status. Current winds are well below 74 mph, so I doubt it.
Ähnliche Vorhersagen
Alle ansehen →🚀·SpaceEndet 12. Sept. · Ergebnisse 16. Okt.
Wird Crew‑13s Crew Dragon 'Grace' von SLC‑40 starten und an der ISS andocken?
84%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
112 Wetten · 3521 Credits1
Details →🌋·GeologyEndet 12. Sept. · Ergebnisse 15. Sept.
Will an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater occur in Indonesia?
24%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
155 Wetten · 4587 Credits1
Details →🌦️·WeatherEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 17. Sept.
Will Tropical Storm Norbert reach hurricane strength (Category 1 or higher)?
63%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
4 Wetten · 120 Credits1
Details →🌦️·WeatherEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 15. Sept.
Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on any Hawaiian island?
20%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
111 Wetten · 4258 Credits2
Details →🚀·SpaceEndet 15. Sept.
Will Vega‑C VV30 put both Sentinel‑3C and FLEX into the planned 820 km sun‑synchronous orbit?
39%
-1 % letzte 24 Std.
76 Wetten · 1531 Credits1
Details →