Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

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Aufgelöst: Ja
Ergebnisse 3. Sept.The market is resolved yes if, on or before 12:00 UTC on September 3, 2026, an operational advisory from the U.S. National Hurricane Center, the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center, or the basin's official meteorological service explicitly states that the tropical cyclone named Karina reached Saffir‑Simpson Category 4. Multiple independent reports show Karina reached maximum sustained winds of 145 mph (230 km/h) on August 30, 2026. An NHC advisory cited by news outlets and a NASA Aqua/MODIS caption explicitly give 145 mph (230 km/h) and classify Karina as Category 4 on 2026-08-30, which is before the 12:00 UTC September 3 cutoff, so the market resolves yes.
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Warum: Multiple independent, credible sources in the provided evidence report that Hurricane Karina reached Saffir–Simpson Category 4 before the cutoff. NASA/MODIS imagery and caption explicitly state the Aqua/MODIS image was acquired on 2026-08-30 “when Hurricane Karina’s maximum sustained winds reached 145 miles per hour (230 km/h), placing it ... Category 4.” US News reports Karina “developed into a Category 4” (winds ≥145 mph) late on the prior Sunday. Infobae cites an NHC advisory giving sustained winds of 230 km/h (145 mph) and central pressure near 942 mb, saying Karina escalated to Category 4 at the close of Sunday 2026-08-30. La Prensa also reports Karina reached Category 4 with 145 mph winds. These independent, dated reports (including NASA’s observation) establish Karina attained Category 4 intensity on 2026-08-30, which is before 2026-09-03 12:00 UTC. A later NHC discussion in the pool shows the storm had weakened by 2026-09-03 15:00Z, but that does not contradict the earlier Category 4 peak.
Quelle: modis.gsfc.nasa.govQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenHonestly, I was stingy this time, I could have bet more.
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Yes

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