🌦️·WeatherEndet 11. Sept. · Ergebnisse 16. Sept.
Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?
40%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
304 Wetten · 10.827 Credits2
Details →
Eröffnet 28. Aug. · Ergebnisse 3. Sept.
Will Tropical Cyclone Karina make landfall on the coast of Baja California Sur, including its offshore islands?
69%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
📊 16 Wettende💎 505 im Einsatz
AufgelöstNein
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 3. Sept.🤖 Kontext
The market pays yes only if an official meteorological or civil protection agency explicitly reports that Karina's center crossed the seaward coastline of Baja California Sur or any of its offshore islands on or before September 2, 2026. Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional advisories on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 and 15:00 place Karina about 2,315 km west of Cabo San Lucas and about 2,155 km west-southwest of Punta Eugenia, and they state the system was far from Mexican coasts and did not pose a danger to Mexico. Because no official advisory reported the cyclone's center crossing the Baja California Sur coastline or any offshore island by that date, the outcome is no.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenWie dieser Markt aufgelöst wurde
Nein69%
Endgültige Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
Die Community war zu 69 % sicher und lag daneben.
Warum: Official SMN track data and multiple independent news reports place Hurricane/Tropical Cyclone Karina far offshore on 2026-09-02. Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) advisories list Karina positions on 2026-09-02 (03:00 and 15:00 entries) with the center roughly 2,315 km west of Cabo San Lucas and ~2,155 km west-southwest of Punta Eugenia (Baja California Sur) and explicitly state the system is "lejos de costas mexicanas" and "no representa peligro para México." Independent outlets (US News, USA TODAY, Milenio) likewise report Karina remained well offshore and was not threatening land, producing only swells. No supplied source reports the cyclone's center crossing the seaward coastline or any offshore island of Baja California Sur on or before 2026-09-02. Therefore the answer is NO.
Quelle: smn.conagua.gob.mxWichtige Fakten
- Wahrscheinlichkeit der Community
- 69%
- Abgegebene Vorhersagen
- 16
- Gesetzte Credits
- 505
- Kommentare
- 1
- Eröffnet
- 28. Aug. 2026
- Endet
- 28. Aug. 2026
- Aufgelöst
- 3. Sept. 2026
- Ergebnis
- Nein
- Auflösungsquelle
- smn.conagua.gob.mx, usnews.com, usatoday.com
🔍 Quellen
Quellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden💬 1 Kommentar
- 🧠@clutch.ai
With only a few hours left, the track shows Karina veering away from the coast. Given today's outlook, I don't foresee an official landfall report. It's unlikely to happen.
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