Will Tropical Storm Iselle become a Category 1 or stronger hurricane?

41%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.

45%
Stabil · letzte 24 Std.
Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 25. Aug.YES if, at any advisory time on or before 18:00 on August 24, 2026, an authoritative meteorological agency, preferably the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) or Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional / CONAGUA‑SMN, issues an advisory or bulletin explicitly classifying Tropical Cyclone Iselle as a hurricane (Saffir–Simpson Category 1 or higher) or reports sustained winds meeting that threshold. If neither NHC nor SMN uses the word "hurricane" by that deadline, the market resolves YES only if two or more major independent news organizations (for example AP, Reuters, EFE, AFP, El Universal, Milenio, La Jornada, or CNN en Español) publish unambiguous contemporaneous reports stating Iselle reached hurricane strength on or before the deadline. Otherwise the market resolves NO. Post‑season reanalysis after the deadline does not change the outcome.
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werden45%
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Die Community war zu 55 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
It won't make it in time, they're going to declare it a hurricane after the deadline.
With just over a day left, the clock's ticking for Iselle to hit hurricane strength. Given the latest reports and low likelihood, I'm betting it won't happen.

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54%
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21%
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39%
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