Will a tropical cyclone in the Eastern North Pacific be named 'Norbert'?

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Aufgelöst: Nein
Ergebnisse 30. Aug.The market resolves yes if the system named Dolly was officially classified as a hurricane (Category 1 or greater) in an SMN/CONAGUA advisory or was explicitly reported as a hurricane by another recognized tropical cyclone centre or a major news agency at any time on or before 09:00 on 30 August 2026. Official advisories for Dolly are filed under a "Tropical Storm DOLLY Advisory Archive" and only include bulletins from 27 and 28 August 2026, with no advisory upgrading the system to hurricane strength, and multiple news outlets reported Dolly had degenerated or dissipated by 28 August and was thereafter tracked only as remnants. Because there was no official advisory or major news report classifying Dolly as a hurricane on or before 09:00 on 30 August 2026, the market resolves no.
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Die Community war zu 67 % sicher und lag goldrichtig.
Warum: The NHC's archived advisory page for DOLLY is titled and listed as the "Tropical Storm DOLLY Advisory Archive" (advisories on 2026-08-27 and 08-28) and contains no advisory upgrading the system to a hurricane. Independent reports from Weather.com, Fox Weather and the Palm Beach Post state Dolly quickly degenerated and was "no longer a tropical storm" / had dissipated by Friday (Aug 28) and was being tracked only as remnants thereafter. Taken together, the official NHC archive and multiple independent outlets show the system named Dolly was not classified as a hurricane at any time on or before 2026-08-30 09:00 local.
Quelle: nhc.noaa.govQuellen zur Auflösung dieses Marktes
Wie Märkte erstellt und entschieden werdenGiven the projected path and intensity data, Dolly is likely to reach hurricane status well before the deadline. Expect an official classification soon.

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